By when will Humane, Inc. no longer operate as an independent entity?
Basic
21
Ṁ3822
2030
21%
November 2024
42%
December 2024
43%
Q1 2025
49%
Q2 2025
55%
Q3 2025
59%
Q4 2025
59%
Q1 2026
61%
Q2 2026
63%
Q3 2026
63%
Q4 2026
63%
Q1 2027
63%
Q2 2027
63%
Q3 2027
66%
Q4 2027
66%
Q1 2028
69%
Q2 2028
69%
Q3 2028
69%
Q4 2028
71%
Q1 2029
72%
Q2 2029

Humane Inc. is a company making wearable AI devices. How much longer will they continue to be in business as an independent entity?

Resolves NO for any option during which Humane continues to operate as an independent entity. Resolves YES for an option if Humane ceases to operate as an independent entity, and for all options after that.

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bought Ṁ75 Answer #2da00adc0265 NO

@Gabrielle several of these seem resolvable as No?

@Fay42 Done, thanks!

You're getting plenty of views, but few trades on this market. I think the issue is this option seems to be worded opposite to the rest of the market.

@robm How would you word it?

@Gabrielle "shutdown before Jan 1, 2030” would do it

Then Yes and No mean the same thing as all the other options

@robm I was trying to have an option that would resolve YES if they still survived, so that you could just buy YES shares in it instead of buying NO shares in everything else

@Gabrielle oh, that makes sense. In that case maybe "none of the above, still independent as of..."

I think it would be more clear for me, but maybe I'm the only one confused.

@robm Good idea, thanks! I've changed it.

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