Given who wins the US election, will there be American soldiers in Iran before 2026?
Standard
8
Ṁ4962026
1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
Trump / yes soldiers
26%
Trump / no soldiers
14%
Harris / yes soldiers
45%
Harris / no soldiers
For the election part of the question, resolves according to Manifold Politics, with “Trump” as a proxy for any future Republican candidate and “Harris” as a proxy for any future Democratic candidate. An independent candidate winning will resolve to N/A.
For the soldiers part of the question, resolves according to https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-there-be-american-soldiers-in
Resolves N/A if the soldiers question resolves before the US election.
Get
1,000
and1.00
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