Will oil cost more than $100/barrel before 2030?
Plus
18
Ṁ11k2029
97%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Political commentators have recently speculated that the combination of the Russo-Ukrainian War and the growth of electric vehicles will mean a decline of oil prices into the future. Will that happen?
To quantify this, will the price of oil, defined by WTI crude prices (https://markets.businessinsider.com/commodities/oil-price?type=wti) reach $100/barrel before January 1, 2030?
For one example discussion, see https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/the-reverse-opec-maneuver.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Brent Crude Reach $100/Barrel Before 2025?
38% chance
Will the price Crude Oil (Brent) exceed $100 per barrel by the end of 2024?
55% chance
Will oil stay below 100$ until the end of 2024
66% chance
Will crude oil trade above $150 at any time before the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will the world reach peak oil production before 2030?
73% chance
Will oil prices (WTI) hit $140/barrel before the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will WTI hit 100 or 50 before 2025?
17% chance
When will crude oil prices next hit $100
Will US crude oil production exceed 14M barrels/day before 2025?
33% chance
Will global peak oil production occur before 2031?
75% chance