![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2FGastonKessler%252F764f082de1f5.jpg&w=3840&q=75)
Will we discover an extraterrestrial carbon based life confirmed by Nasa before 2150?
Mini
7
Ṁ3252150
31%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:
In the below market, I added a year 2150 expiration date for the purpose of benchmarking such questions as this. https://manifold.markets/HarrisonNathan/what-is-manifolds-yield-curve?r=SGFycmlzb25OYXRoYW4
Related questions
Will we find strong evidence for extraterrestrial life by 2030?
17% chance
Will proof of life of extraterrestrial origin be found by 2100?
28% chance
Will extraterrestrial life be found by 2100?
33% chance
Will we detect extraterrestrial intelligent life in the universe by 2124?
35% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2040?
24% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2050?
41% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2039?
22% chance
Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
30% chance
Will evidence of an extraterrestrial civilization be discovered by the year 2100?
29% chance
Will we discover alien life before 2041?
24% chance