What will be the top-3 AI labs in 2030?
Basic
32
Ṁ13862031
34%
OpenAI
16%
DeepMind
14%
9%
Anthropic
6%
Meta
6%
US Government
5%
xAI
3%
NVIDIA
1.8%
Safe Superintelligence Inc
1.5%
Alibaba
2022 would resolve as OpenAI, Stability.AI, Deepmind
Based on social media buzz, search trends, etc. — i.e. purely on buzz/prestige
50/30/20 resolution to the most impactful in public opinion during the year
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?
Will a new lab create a top-performing AI frontier model before 2028?
59% chance
Which countries will have a top 3 AI lab at EOY2027?
Which 3 AI labs/companies will make the most impact in 2024 (technical contributions to the field of AI)?
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2030?
Will xAI AI be a Major AI Lab by 2025?
31% chance
Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?
42% chance
What will be the top-3 AI tools in 2040?
By 2028, which country other than USA/China will be most important to AI?
Will AI surpass humans in conducting scientific research by 2030?
39% chance