Will the US officially recognize the sovereignty of the State of Palestine by 2030?
Plus
20
Ṁ8322030
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES once that happens
Resolves to NO in 2030
I will use sources such as these to resolve to YES:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_the_State_of_Palestine
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/countries-that-recognize-palestine
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a new state be recognised by the UN anywhere in Palestine before the end of 2024?
18% chance
Will the United States recognize a state of Palestine before the end of 2028?
20% chance
Will Palestine become a full United Nations member state before 2030?
46% chance
Will Finland recognize a state of Palestine before 2030
20% chance
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2027?
30% chance
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2026?
18% chance
[Metaculus] Will Israel recognize Palestine by 2070?
45% chance
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
27% chance
Will X Country Recognize Palestine in 2024?
Will Palestine be fully recognized as a United Nations member state by the end of 2029?
53% chance