Will Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Plus
3
Ṁ11k2028
1%
2024
1%
2025
1%
2026
1.1%
2027
On December 30, 2023 Justin Murphy said, "we need a prediction market for Aella reverting to Christianity in the next 5 years." In response @Aella created the question /Aella/will-i-aella-convert-to-christianit. I would like to collect the mana of YES holders sooner rather than later, so I created this question.
I plan to resolve answers soon after the end of each year. If @Aella converts within a given year, then I will resolve that year and all following years to YES.
For the purposes of this question (based on Justin Murphy's tweet and @Aella's question), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
Tweet from Justin Murphy:
Question created by @Aella:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
8% chance
Will Aella be romantically or sexually involved with Destiny by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Aella have a child by 2030?
73% chance
Will @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
7% chance
Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?
48% chance
Will I (Aella) find someone to seriously date by the end of 2029?
73% chance
Will Aella find a market mechanism she likes for finding sex partners by 2025?
21% chance
Will Aella (publicly) talk to Jreg again in 2024?
34% chance
Will Aella be romantically involved with Destiny by the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will Aella's friend accidentally get pregnant before the end of February?
20% chance