[Megamarket] 80,000 Hours podcast in 2024 prop bets
Basic
26
Ṁ2593Jan 1
60%
≥35 episodes in 2024
49%
Other host than Rob or Luisa
54%
≥3 guests with Rethink Priorities as main employer at time of recording
6%
Episode with Sam Altman
21%
Paid sponsorship featured in an episode
73%
Episode length of ≥4h00m
56%
Episode with Zachary Robinson
23%
≥3 guests with Open Philanthropy as main employer at time of recording
12%
"Rationalussy" in the official transcript
86%
Guest with Anthropic as main employer at time of recording
44%
Pre-interview introduction mentions "Ukraine"
13%
Guest with Manifold as main employer at time of recording
53%
Episode that can be said to have forecasting as its main topic (in a broad sense, rather than e.g. AI timelines)
32%
Episode with Holden Karnofsky
27%
Episode with Will MacAskill
41%
Guest with OpenAI as main employer at time of recording
20%
Episode with @EliezerYudkowsky
41%
Episode with Niel Bowerman (80k CEO)
47%
Episode that can be said to have the US 2024 election as its main topic
50%
Guest born in Africa
After Hours episodes don't count.
Only concerns episodes released in 2024.
Things that have already happened before this market's creation are admitted.
Insider trading allowed
As per the official webpage feed (unlike RSS podcast feed) "Classic episode" reposts do not count
For dates, lengths, etc, I will go with whatever's stated on the official webpage.
For any proof, it would be great if you could provide link and timestamp, or transcript, where applicable, for confirmation.
I reserve the right to remove, N/A, and/or clarify descriptions, as I see fit.
I will not trade in this market, to be able to better rule on subjective judgments.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000
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