Similar market, but for the next mainline Star Wars movie, that I thought you guys would enjoy ✨

How is fatality assessed? A 10m fall can kill you, but it might just cause serious injury. But even a much shorter distance can kill you if you're really unlucky.

@Strigoides The idea for this came from watching Casino Royal where there was a jump from one construction crane to another. The fall clearly would have been lethal. So I think setting the standard high would work. Something like 15M/50ft?

Bruh what even is this website anymore?

@TheAllMemeingEye was there a scene in one of the older Bond movies with a scene like this? Goldfinger? Or maybe it was an Austin Powers movie. I've forgotten.

@Strigoides is a pun enough? Or does he need to do his own setup?

@HenriThunberg Pun is enough as long as it's clearly intended, in character, to be funny

Leaked scene designs

@HenriThunberg how do you plan to resolve this? will you seek out the film through... non-theartical avenues in order to watch/pause/rewind/rewatch at will? are you depending on bettors to nudge for resolution? do you have a team of people with subsets of this list to take to the movie as a checklist?

(I like this fun market and, I don't envy you!)

@shankypanky Imagine all the usual drama around technicalities with resolution criteria and spirit vs letter... multiplied by 200... with questions written by random third parties... good luck!

it gives me anxiety just thinking about it but other people are wired much differently than me so I'm really curious how someone else might manage this without getting the shakes! lol

@shankypanky hadn't seen this quetsion before.

I imagine I will...
1. Resolve some based on the trailer
2. Try to go to the cinema early on with a physical list, cross off the ones I can live, and obvious ones I am sure of after getting out
3. Take suggestions from users, giving people a few days to object if they think otherwise
4. Confirm last ones through screendumps when released online
5. N/A what can't be confirmed in 4?

But yes, subjective ones will probably be a bit hell-ish. I'll be cheap with my hourly rate in my invoice to the Manifold team.

To up my edge in this market I watched Casino Royal (2006). Here are some things that would have revolved in that movie:

- viper vs mongoose pit fight

- Driving construction equipment
- Fighting on a crane

- “Christ I miss the Cold War” - M

- Shooting up an embassy

- Breaks into his boss’s house

- beautiful woman riding a white horse on a beach

- bond is an adulterer

- bond tells a woman that dressing masculine reduces her chances of being promoted

- Making out as a distraction

- bond sits sadly in the shower getting wet with a suit on

- bond sensually sucks the blood off of a woman’s hand

- fight scene in a sinking house in venice

- both his love interests die

- the main villain is killed by a side character
- the rope bondage/torture/castration scene??????

Now I don't know what to believe! Anything can happen!!!

It did inspire one new market from me however: /Nikos/how-many-war-crimes-will-james-bond

@Nikos "- bond sensually sucks the blood off of a woman’s hand"

Shoulda been clearer with "Vampires" ;)

this is a hilarious list

I'll do some cleaning up on this market to make space for new questions, with N/A on answers that should go into transport/sex/fight categories. Also questions that are unclear ("Vampires"), or overly silly ("Bond says, 'Enough is enough! I have had it with these motherfucking snakes on this motherfucking plane!'") will be N/Ad for more interesting ones.

I have one particular submitter in mind who I'll be less lenient toward than others, due to spammy behavior :)

@HenriThunberg Can't wait until the movie comes out and Bond actually does complain about there being snakes on a plane.

It seems we've reached the maximum number of options (200), or @HenriThunberg has very understandably closed the market to new options. We've already split off vehicles and means of injury; maybe we could also split off locations, dialogue and types of sex scenes. (This is not a sentence I expected to type.)

And, since I'm now apparently the pun predictor... "Bond market".

@BrunoParga https://manifold.markets/33/which-sexualromantic-acts-will-jame?r=MzM

Actual living creature, or would a visual depiction count?

@Strigoides I don't think any are actual living creatures, so let's go with any visual depiction.

@33 like a tattoo or painting

@33 I clarified that option like ghee

"Previous Bond" meaning, an actor that has played Bond before, right?

@BrunoParga Correct