@Ziddletwix limit

Does anyone object to me changing the market close and resolution date to 1 month after release instead of 3 months? Seems exaggerated for movie reviews.

@HenriThunberg Agreed with this! Very few reviews are added after the first few weeks

@traders I changed the closing date accordingly, this question will now close on the 25th of December.

can you change your 2nd link to https://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/gladiator_ii

@mattyb done, good suggestion. Now please weigh in on the Kalshi conundrum below?

@HenriThunberg cheers!

oof, making me go on the record here 😅. Ridley’s super streaky as a director, and Napoleon really wasn’t great. I think Kalshi’s a bit high, but there’s a chance this one’s good. I still believe Ridley can make a good movie, and 70% isn’t a very high bar. Manifold feels pretty accurate to me

Something is very off either with Kalshi, or this market.

If you're interested in ticket sales instead/as well :)

I think this criteria, is a non-criteria because of the lack of timeliness
If the movie is never released, then the question resolves N/A.
If the movie is released 200 or 1000 years from now, then it would not satisfy this resolution criteria as written.

I suspect that the market creator had some timeframe in mind to test for movie release not happening OR maybe @HenriThunberg meant, If it is announced that the movie is no longer going to be produced, then the question resolves N/A, so that the criteria is based upon something happening rather than something not happening.

@ShitakiIntaki casting has began for a while now. it's extremely unlikely that the movie gets cancelled

@GeorgeVelis oh that may be, I was just noting that a negative criteria with no time frame can never evaluate to be true. You can only evaluate a negative criteria for a given time frame.

@ShitakiIntaki fine by me, changed to "If the movie is not released before the end of 2026, then the question resolves N/A."