Will Sam Altman do any more tweets with a capitalized start in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ170Jan 1
61%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
A tweet made starting with a capital letter makes this resolve YES.
Otherwise resolves NO at EOY.
Pure retweets do not count, but quote tweets starting with a text written by Sam does.
Resolution seems unambiguous enough, I might trade in this market.
Sam Altman retweeting the below (as he did) would not resolve to YES.
This would resolve to YES, were he to do it again after market creation (Sep 30 2024).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Sam Altman be the CEO of OpenAI at the end of 2024?
96% chance
Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?
15% chance
Will Sam Altman's twitter alt be identified by 1 Jan 2025?
32% chance
How many Tweets will Sam Altman make before announcing the next GPT?
30% chance
Will Sam Altman be CEO of any Elon Musk owned company by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will I get a respone/like/retweet from Sam Altman on X/Twitter in 2024?
10% chance
Will Sam Altman ever run for president
23% chance
Will Americans like Sam Altman, on net, at the beginning of 2027?
25% chance
What will Sam Altman be doing on June 30 2025?
Will Sam Altman have kids by 2033?
86% chance