Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?
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Not just decriminalise - legalise, and for both medical and recreational use. Happy to tweak criteria if unclear.
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Path 1 - That this government legalises it.
Seems quite unlikely, it wasn't on the manifesto and it's not something which has been hinted at.
Path 2 - That the next government does it.
Next GE will likely be first half of 2029, it would have to be a manifesto commitment, and one of the first things they did, which would mean it would have to have been a focus of their campaign. Unless the zeitgeist really changes that seems also implausible.
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