Will the UK legalise marijuana by 2030?
26
10kṀ15882030
24%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Not just decriminalise - legalise, and for both medical and recreational use. Happy to tweak criteria if unclear.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Path 1 - That this government legalises it.
Seems quite unlikely, it wasn't on the manifesto and it's not something which has been hinted at.
Path 2 - That the next government does it.
Next GE will likely be first half of 2029, it would have to be a manifesto commitment, and one of the first things they did, which would mean it would have to have been a focus of their campaign. Unless the zeitgeist really changes that seems also implausible.
Related questions
Related questions
Will marijuana (cannabis) be legalised for recreational use in the UK by 2026?
1% chance
Will the US Federal Government legalize recreational marijuana by 2030?
71% chance
What countries will decriminalize or legalize weed by 2030
Will any country that has once decriminalized or legalized marijuana revert it again before 2030?
14% chance
Will Texas legalize recreational Marijuana before 2030?
71% chance
Will the state of Louisiana legalize marijuana by the end of 2030?
41% chance
Will Sweden legalize or decriminalize the use of Cannabis by 2030?
25% chance
Will a majority of states legalize psychedelics by 2033?
18% chance
When will England legalize weed?
2038
Will legal international trade in recreational cannabis happen before 2034?
76% chance