US-Israel Direct Attack on Iran before December End proceeding toward WAR?
➕
Plus
3
Ṁ3320
Jan 2
5%
chance

Background

The US and Iran have had a long history of tensions, but direct military confrontations have been limited. Prior to January 2020, US military actions against Iran were primarily focused on sanctions, proxy conflicts, and strikes against Iranian-backed groups in neighboring countries. The last significant US military operation directly related to Iran was Operation Eagle Claw in 1980, which was a failed hostage rescue mission rather than an attack on Iran itself.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve YES if the United States conducts a direct military strike against targets on Iranian territory before January 1, 2024. This includes:

  • Missile strikes

  • Airstrikes

  • Naval bombardment

  • Special operations on Iranian soil

The market will resolve NO if:

  • No attacks occur before January 1, 2024

  • US military actions are limited to Iranian proxies or assets outside of Iran's territory

  • Cyber attacks or other non-kinetic operations occur

  • Defensive actions are taken against Iranian forces outside of Iranian territory

    Background

    The US and Iran have had a long history of tensions, but direct military confrontations have been limited. Prior to January 2020, US military actions against Iran were primarily focused on sanctions, proxy conflicts, and strikes against Iranian-backed groups in neighboring countries. The last significant US military operation directly related to Iran was Operation Eagle Claw in 1980, which was a failed hostage rescue mission rather than an attack on Iran itself.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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