Will Trump's hush money convictions be overturned due to the Supreme Court's grant of presidential immunity?
Plus
31
Ṁ7101Dec 31
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Supreme Court has declared that presidents are above criminal law when they act in their official capacity, with fairly vague and very broad limits to that capacity. Trump has accordingly moved to vacate his convictions for doctoring business records with the intent to cover up felonies, something he did while president:
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/01/nyregion/trump-sentence-hush-money.html
Will he succeed?
This market will resolve when he either succeeds or fails with no further appeals. (Closing time may therefore be extended.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Trump successfully appeal the hush money case?
55% chance
What will Trump's sentence for his hush money felony convictions include?
Will the $450 million fraud judgment against Donald Trump stand?
12% chance
If Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
32% chance
Will presidential immunity be reverted by a constitutional amendment in 2024?
5% chance
Will Clarence Thomas rule with the Majority on Jack Smith's Supreme Court petition to see if Donald Trump has immunity?
56% chance
Will Trump Face Significant Repercussions (Incarceration or Political Restrictions) from Hush Money Verdict?
7% chance
Will John Roberts rule with for Trump on Jack Smith's Supreme Court petition to see if Donald Trump has immunity ?
5% chance
If the Supreme Court backs Trump's claims of absolute presidential immunity, will Joe Biden have Trump killed?
POLL
Is Trump's hush money trial good for the country?
POLL