Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
76
100Ṁ6474Apr 21
0.2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This poll explores whether President Trump, will bring an end to the ongoing war in Ukraine within the first 90 days of his new term (By 21st-April-2025).
Resolves YES if a verifiable peace agreement or ceasefire is achieved, before or within 90 days of Trump assuming office.
Resolves NO if active conflict continues without a formal resolution or significant de-escalation within the 90-day timeframe following Trump's inauguration.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Is this market a duplicate? Or are there scenarios where they could resolve differently? https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-trump-end-the-ukraine-war-with
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the war in Ukraine end by 2026
33% chance
Will Trump sign a deal with Ukraine providing military support in exchange for rare earths by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?
75% chance
Will President Zelenskyy publicly apologize to President Trump by the end of May 2025? (forked market)
5% chance
If Trump is elected in 2024, will Ukraine win the war with Russia?
6% chance
Will Trump revoke the temporary legal status of Ukrainian refugees in 2025 before the war has ended?
62% chance
Will the war in Ukraine be officially over by december 2025 ?
40% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
71% chance
Will Volodomyr Zelenskyy be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?
70% chance
Given Russia-Ukraine War does not end in 2025, will Trump withhold significant support from Ukraine
91% chance