Will a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?
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15%
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To resolve YES, it is enough that the condition holds at any moment before January 1, 2035, and after June 15, 2024.
A related market (for year 2030): https://manifold.markets/IhorKendiukhov/will-a-single-company-in-sp-500-hav?r=SWhvcktlbmRpdWtob3Y
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