Will a single company in S&P 500 have a larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2035?
Plus
23
Ṁ94042035
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
To resolve YES, it is enough that the condition holds at any moment before January 1, 2035, and after June 15, 2024.
A related market (for year 2030): https://manifold.markets/IhorKendiukhov/will-a-single-company-in-sp-500-hav?r=SWhvcktlbmRpdWtob3Y
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 15% over 2024?
87% chance
Will a single company in S&P 500 have larger market cap than all other S&P 500 companies combined before 2030?
7% chance
Will the five most valuable members of the S&P 500 be more than 21% of the index's value in 2025?
80% chance
What will be the largest company in the world by market cap at the start of 2030
Will the S&P 500 index go up by more than 20% over 2024?
71% chance
Will S&P500 grow more than 100% within any period which is no longer that 365 days before 2035?
43% chance
Will the S&P500 be greater than 4x its Jan 1, 2023 price on Jan 1, 2033?
55% chance
Which publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Will there be more than 10 companies with market cap of > $1T by the end of 2025?
65% chance
Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2030?
66% chance