Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
10
1kṀ1476
2099
254.6
expected
18%
2031-2035
18%
2036-2040
18%
2081-2100
18%
2027-2028
18%
2041-2060
17%
2061-2080
17%
2101-2102
16%
2026
14%
2029-2030
12%
2025

This market resolves to the year in which Elon Musk next visits Russia. The visit must be confirmed by credible news sources or official statements from Musk or his companies.

If Musk does not visit Russia by the close date, this market will resolve to the answer that includes the close date year or later.

See also market for 2025 only:

https://manifold.markets/IliaSud/will-elon-musk-visit-russia-in-2025

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bought Ṁ10 NO

Only one option can resolve yes, right?

@TheAllMemeingEye yes. I will change the names of options to better represent this

Why is the predicted date 961 even though that's clearly outside the possible range?

@AlexanderTheGreater I have no idea why. At first i wanted to create a market with single number and higher/lower bets, but couldn't find the option.

@IliaSud Ah with the 'threshold' style market you can't mix ranges and befores/afters. All the answers have to be before/after a date, not some after and some 2035-2040. It'd have to look like the following market (just a test market): https://manifold.markets/ian/year-of-elon-musks-next-visit-to-ru-59C955RA9p?play=true

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