Who will be the world's first trillionaire?
Mini
38
Ṁ5618
2040
59%
Other
20%
Elon Musk
6%
Sam Altman
4%
Mark Zuckerburg
1.9%
Jeff Bezos
1.3%
Paul Graham
1.3%
Michael Saylor
1.2%
Peter Thiel
1.2%
Vladimir Putin
1.2%
Vitalik Buterin

Denoted in nominal USD. (They don't have to actually own that amount of USD, that's just the conversion rate.)

This market will only resolve to the exact name of a specific person. Non-specific or pseudonymous descriptions like "the first person to invent reliable fusion energy" or "Satoshi Nakamoto" will be ignored. Duplicate answers will be ignored.

If the person in question shares finances with family members, such as how Bernard Arnault's fortune is often listed under "Bernard Arnault and family", that still counts as one person. If a significant fraction of the fortune comes from more than one person, such as two $500 billionaires getting wealthy independently and then marrying each other, it only counts if they seem to truly share finances, such that either one of them has access to the full trillion if they wanted it.

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Michael Saylor

if anyone wants to buy my NO shares at 5% with a limit order lmk

(ty isaac!)

Tomek K 🟡boughtṀ211Michael Saylor YES

@itsTomekK what do you know haha

@TheBayesian what year is it now?

@itsTomekK 2023 afaik