Will a very large-scale AI alignment project be funded before 2025?
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18
Ṁ1336
Jan 2
17%
chance

The focus must be on alignment over capabilites. A dual focus is acceptible as long as there's a serious committment to alignment.

The total amount of funding must be at least $10 billion.

In the event of gradual funding over time, this market can resolve YES if the project ever meets all three criteria at any point in its life.

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Just arbitraging a bit