Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025? | Manifold

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky have any meeting about AI with any member of the US congress, senate, or white house before 2025?

Plus

48

Ṁ5036

Jan 2

10%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Gary Marcus and Sam Altman were in a senate hearing a few months ago. Biden has just signed an executive order on AI capabilities. It could happen!

It doesn't have to be a highly formal meeting like a congressional hearing, but it has to actually be a real "meeting", not just a Twitter reply or a 10 second exchange in a conference Q&A session. A podecast would count if both members are in it and seriously discussing the topic.

Only counts instances after market creation.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 YES

@EliezerYudkowsky Free mana here for you if you want to bet, call up your congressional representative, and have a quick meeting with them.

bought Ṁ40 YES

Wait by before 2025 you mean by the end of 2024?

Does "[member of the] white house" include any official in the presidential administration?

predictedNO

@UnspecifiedPerson Is that what it's usually used to mean?

@IsaacKing "Member of the White House" isn't a regularly used term at all. I'm not sure what you intended it to mean.

Does it have to be a private meeting? Does the appearance on Dan Crenshaw's podcast (or another like it) count?

@IsaacKing So does it count? Are you looking for a meeting after the market start date? https://youtu.be/uX9xkYDSPKA?si=NehxLJv6id_3-EW5

"Only counts instances after market creation."

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

-6% 1d29% chance

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

Related questions

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?

At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?

Which well-known scientist will Eliezer Yudkowsky have a long recorded conversation with about AI risk, before 2026?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get fully blaked before 2027?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky work for any major AI-related entity by 2027?

Will a large-scale, Eliezer-Yudkowsky-approved AI alignment project be funded before 2025?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky get an op-ed in the NY Times or Washington Post by the end of 2024?

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be employed at one of the top AI labs in 2023 or 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules