Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing? | Manifold

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?

Plus

11

Ṁ289

3000

18%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

https://scottaaronson.blog/?p=902

This market resolves YES if any such award is paid, of any amount.

It resolves NO if Scott announces that scalable quantum has been conclusivly demonstrated as possible and the award is impossible to win.

If the award is invalidated for any other reason, this resolves N/A.

For a market that's only about his full $100,00 award that scalable quantum computing is impossible, see here:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Quantum Computing

#Scott Aaronson

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

I actually think that scalable quantum computing is unlikely (with our current understanding of physics, at least) but I'd be very surprised if this resolved YES regardless.

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out any award for a discovery that dramatically weakens the possibility of scalable quantum computing?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out his $100,000 award for a demonstration that scalable quantum computing is impossible in the physical world?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

When will Scott Aaronson write about Shanghai University's claim to have broken RSA with D-Wave's quantum computer?

How many research groups will have claimed to have achieved a "quantum advantage" on quantum computers by end 2024?

Will a plausible post-quantum proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

Related questions

Will Scott Aaronson ever pay out his $100,000 award for a demonstration that scalable quantum computing is impossible in the physical world?

Will a plausible post-quantum proof obfuscator be found by end of 2024?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2040?

When will Quantum computing become viable?

Will Quantum computing break RSA encryption before 2030?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

When will Scott Aaronson write about Shanghai University's claim to have broken RSA with D-Wave's quantum computer?

Will a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2035?

How many research groups will have claimed to have achieved a "quantum advantage" on quantum computers by end 2024?

Will a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules