Will there be a space elevator by 2050?

Space Futurism

Basic

Ṁ783

2050

18%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if there is any satallite in stationary orbit (or higher) around a planet or moon that is connected to that body by a tether. It does not need to be capable of actually transporting anything into space, nor does it need to be on Earth.

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Fudge, the "not on earth" part might come to bite me. It would be really useful for cislunar space

On bodies with no atmosphere, space guns would likely be much cheaper than building a space elevator. Maybe on Mars we could get an elevator, but Mars's atmosphere is thin enough that gun launches might even be feasible there too.

predicts NO

Agreed for launch, but strong disagree for arrival. Any imports to Luna would likely be cheaper if done via an elevator rather than, say, a soft propulsive landing

predicts YES

Nah, simple; just run the gun in reverse. The spacecraft lines up with the railgun rails, and as it decelerates it charges up the capacitor banks for the next launch.

...Ok, maybe a space elevator would be better for that.