Will total US military expenditure top its all-time high by 2024?
Plus
19
Ṁ423Jan 1
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://ourworldindata.org/military-spending
2010 was the year with the highest total US military spending so far. This market resolves to yes if Our World in Data (or a suitable replacement if it stops being a reliable source) shows the military spending of 2022, 2023, or 2024 to be above the 2010 total, adjusted for inflation. If they're all lower (or the US is no longer a country at that point), this resolves to no. If that data becomes completely unavailable, this resolves to N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Unless something significant changes before end of 2024, this resolves no (e.g. the current 2024 budget is below the 2010, inflation adjusted).
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Military_budget_of_the_United_States#Budget_by_year
Related questions
Related questions
Will the 2025 US federal deficit be >$1.7T?
70% chance
Will US still have the highest military spending among all countries by 2100?
52% chance
Will 18 or more countries in NATO spend 2% of their GDP on defense in 2024?
62% chance
Will US military aid to Ukraine decrease by more than 10% in 2024 compared to 2023?
52% chance
Will The US be at at war with another country by the end of 2024?
16% chance
Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?
26% chance
Will NATO spend combined more than $2 trillion on defence by 2028?
64% chance
Will the US have 200,000 overseas active-duty military personnel before 2030?
51% chance
Will the US CY 2024 deficit be higher in 2024 than 2023 as a proportion of GDP?
26% chance
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2034?