Which hour will Jimmy Carter die during 2024?

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Ṁ43k

Jan 1

12 AM (Midnight)

1 AM

2 AM

3 AM

4 AM

5 AM

6 AM

7 AM

8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM (Noon)

1 PM

2 PM

3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

Resolve based on what timezone Jimmy Carter dies in. Resolves no if he's still alive at the start of 2025

George W. Bush died at 10:10 p.m. Central Standard Time. So his hour of death would resolve to 10pm.

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Update 2024-21-12 (PST): * Market will resolve N/A if Jimmy Carter does not die during 2024 (AI summary of creator comment)

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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sold Ṁ177 NO

This is linked when it should be unlinked, so has to resolve N/A I think.

@binarypigeon Why?

filled a Ṁ229 NO at 3% order

@JCDM Wait, I understand now too. One option MUST resolve YES.

There is no "None" option, so if he doesn't die this year, it's impossible to resolve this market in a way that makes sense.

sold Ṁ175 NO

You might be able to salvage this market by changing the title to "If Jimmy Carter dies during 2024, which hour will he die during?". This preserves the N/A result making sense.

@Quroe Ahh RIP, I'll N/A if he doesn't die

@JCDM I already bet expecting them all to resolve no if he doesn't die. Can you not just add another option?

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2701164/

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