Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?
Basic
6
Ṁ1612027
54%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will resolve this based on my reading and critical reviews. Really, I think that it will be obvious, but I'll take input from the community.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel focusing on AI in 2024?
3% chance
Will any best-selling work of fiction be written entirely by an AI by April of 2028?
38% chance
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
39% chance
Will a novel published by a 'Big Five' publisher turn out to be written by an AI by 2028?
70% chance
Will sci-fi author Neal Stephenson publish a novel (book) in 2024?
97% chance
Will a book claimed to be written by an AI make the NYT best seller list before the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will AI convincingly mimic Scott Alexander's writing in style, depth, and insight before 2026?
23% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
59% chance
Will a major publishing house release a collection of poetry fully written by an AI by 2025?
59% chance
Will a publisher release a novel advertised as being AI-generated in the style of very popular dead author, b4 EOY 2024?
40% chance