When will the USA legalise prediction markets for elections?
Basic
5
Ṁ2162028
4%
1 Jan 2024
6%
1 Jan 2025
6%
1 Jan 2026
6%
1 Jan 2027
6%
1 Jan 2028
73%
Later than this/never
The USA presently regards prediction markets to be illegal gambling for elections. Resolves when this changes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
49% chance
Will real money prediction markets become legal in the US by the end of 2025?
45% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
60% chance
Will Trump legalize prediction markets?
66% chance
Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?
82% chance
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
53% chance
If Trump wins in 2024, will real money political prediction markets be legal before 2029?
36% chance
Real money political prediction markets will be legal in the US for a month before 2030
80% chance
Will prediction markets be formally integrated into a government's political system before 2040? 📜🏛️⚖️📊
30% chance
If prediction markets become mostly legal in the US by 2030, was it mostly because of a judicial ruling?
51% chance