Will we reach the Landauer limit by 2028?
8
190Ṁ5302028
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if moore's law is broken and we reach the theoretical lower limit on energy consumption for computation as per the Landauer limit. Resolves no if this does not happen by 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will Landauer's limit be reached (to within a factor of 10) in practical computing devices before 2050?
17% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2029?
22% chance
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
14% chance
Which of Landau's Problems will be solved next?
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
14% chance
Will a human land on the Sun by 2040?
2% chance
Will humans land on mars by 2028?
4% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2028?
15% chance
Will we have a superhuman mathematician by the beginning of 2026 (as defined here: https://twitter.com/ChrSzegedy/status/1598341927828594688)?
12% chance
Will there be another positive leap second by end of 2035?
38% chance