Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
64
1kṀ11k2027
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO. (The human must be alive to count.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Sort by:
https://manifold.markets/plsdelete/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo?r=c3BpZGVy
numbers here would indicate "before 2028" at 17%
@spider that market is kind of out of whack with all the other moon landing markets (see list here: https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again )
Free arbitrage if you feel like aligning everything