Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Basic
57
8.5k
2027
22%
chance

Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO. (The human must be alive to count.)

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predicts NO

@spider that market is kind of out of whack with all the other moon landing markets (see list here: https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again )

Free arbitrage if you feel like aligning everything

after 2022

New conspiracy: the lack of moon landing in 2023 was a hoax