Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Plus
62
Ṁ95612027
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a human lands on the moon after 2022 and before 2028, otherwise NO. (The human must be alive to count.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://manifold.markets/plsdelete/when-will-humans-set-foot-on-the-mo?r=c3BpZGVy
numbers here would indicate "before 2028" at 17%
@spider that market is kind of out of whack with all the other moon landing markets (see list here: https://manifold.markets/Mqrius/will-a-human-walk-on-the-moon-again )
Free arbitrage if you feel like aligning everything
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