Will a major media outlet publish a hit piece on manifold due to allowing markets on wars and death tolls before 2025?
Plus
30
Ṁ2684Dec 31
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If desired I can specify more clearly how I will interpret "major media outlet".
To qualify, the piece has to have a more negative than positive tone and imply that prediction markets on either wars or death tolls are bad in some way.
Context:
I will not be betting in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
38% chance
Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
30% chance
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
32% chance
Will any major news outlet interview a top Manifold trader or creator by the end of 2024?
28% chance
Will a major financial news outlet write an editorial saying that deglobalization concerns were overblown by 2026?
41% chance
Which of these Newspapers will publish an article mentioning Manifold before 2024 end?
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
29% chance
Will Manifold be in the NYT again before the end of 2024?
63% chance
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
20% chance
Will Manifold be prominently featured in a NYT article again before the end of 2024?
19% chance