Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
19
Ṁ697
2025
32%
chance

Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.

To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets. As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.

I'll not be betting in this market, of course.

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This closed already, but no WaPo article has been published yet. Just wanted to check in case you wanted to leave it open.

@yetforever Sorry for the delay; life intervened. Re-opened.

Why is this one higher than the others?

@PlasmaBallin all these markets have relatively few traders.