
Will the first mention of Manifold in mainstream news be positive?
26
1kṀ18402031
47%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Positive (YES): Hype piece, predicted something way ahead, charity donations, etc.
Negative (NO): Person bet up market before making an illegal/immoral action, gambling, etc.
Mainstream news: TV only (podcasts do not count) - CBS, CNN, FOX, NBC, ABC, MSNBC
First mention: from this day forward
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@ClubmasterTransparent Looking for a major news story, not an advertorial in the NYT. That way we'll know it's serious.
Related questions
Related questions
Will a Manifold market get to the front page of Hacker News this week?
3% chance
If Manifold gets negative news coverage, will a large number of new users join?
82% chance
Will the first CNN article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
29% chance
Will Manifold be mentioned in a mainstream Hollywood movie before 2030?
11% chance
Will the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
30% chance
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
11% chance
Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
38% chance
Will the first WaPo article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
32% chance
When would we have the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post?
What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
Ṁ0 bounty