What will be the first Manifold question to get to the front page of Hacker News?
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The submitter of the first Manifold question (or group) to get to one of the top 30 slots on Hacker News will earn the bounty (excluding submissions made before the creation of this market) .

The question doesn't have to have been made by the submitter. The submitter must post a link to their submission in the comments below. You may not claim the submissions of others.

Addendum: You may not submit this market to HN.

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Mine: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36808233 (#20 currently)

Nice trick, pay Manifold users to spam HN with posts. Kind of like how 4chan used to raid websites. I love it!

I would like to meta-submit this bounty question.

I suspect a collection of markets forming a narrative would have a higher potential to do well than a singular market. Does this bounty only apply to a single question? Could it refer to a Manifold post or even something like a Substack post featuring multiple embedded questions?

Manifold questions were already on the front page of Hackernews in January or February 2022, that's how I found you.

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