Will Claude 3.5 Opus have a higher Chat Arena Elo than GPT-5?
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Ṁ1020Jan 2
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Note that if OpenAI ends of changing their naming scheme to something else, I will count it if the model appears to be the one mentioned in this blog post: https://openai.com/index/openai-board-forms-safety-and-security-committee/
Additionally, it will only be resolved yes if 3.5 Opus sustains its position for the entire first month after both models are listed in the leaderboards, so if it passes GPT-5 temporarily due to noise it will not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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