resolves yes if Vance is replaced/removed from the Republican ticket on the national level, formally or informally
@CryptoNeoLiberalist I'm on YES for this market, but this situation (awkwardly messing up the fistbump/handshake) happens to me every other day, and I don't meet even a fraction of the people Vance meets. I don't get why people are making a big deal out of it.
I listened to, again I think, on The Portal. He’s a really smart guy. https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-portal/id1469999563?i=1000473090465
All of the “here’s an embarrassing photo of you and lol couch” stuff like is lower than Dean Scream-level politics.
If you don’t like him, just say you don’t like him. Don’t run around inventing silly reasons.
Manifold seems not very efficient. Vance at 14%, but any replacement (Trump, Vance, Harris, Walz) at 8% (https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/trumpvance-vs-harriswalz-on-electio)