Will Optimus be used on the Optimus assembly line before the end of 2025?
Plus
12
Ṁ8892026
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Could you please clarify the resolution criteria for this prediction? Specifically, if an Optimus robot performs a task in a Tesla factory solely for the purpose of being featured in a video (e.g., a one-off demonstration), but is not consistently working on the assembly line (e.g., not operational 24/7), would that still count as fulfilling the condition?
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be over 1000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2026?
35% chance
Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027?
18% chance
Will transformers still be the dominant DL architecture in 2026?
79% chance
Will there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?
58% chance
Will Optimus generate more revenue than cars for Tesla at any point before 2030?
32% chance
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2026?
32% chance
Will it be possible to buy Tesla Optimus humanoid robot before 2030?
79% chance
Will Tesla Optimus Gen-2 be available for *Sale* General Availability (GA) by 2027?
60% chance
What year will Tesla begin sale of their Optimus robot ?
Will Optimus robot be able to change a tire on a Tesla car before 2028 ?
71% chance