Will the Speaker of the House be ousted again before the next Congress begins?

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Ṁ5026

Jan 14

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At any point before the 118th Congress concludes, will there be another successful 'motion to vacate', removing the Speaker of the House?

Presumably this would be removing Mike Johnson, but if other circumstances change the Speaker without a motion to vacate (e.g. illness or resignation), this will resolve yes only if a motion to vacate later ensues and succeeds.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#U.S. Congress

#118th Congress

#Speaker of the House election

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Only 2 months left and the GOP has likely held onto the House in this election (which would give them a trifecta in 2025). Hard to see why Speaker Johnson would be ousted before Jan 3.

TBD if he is reelected to speaker. Who knows how large the GOP majority will be and what hardliners may try to do.

bought Ṁ30 YES

Always betting on maximum dysfunction with these guys

predicts YES

Well, this is thick enough that probably the market is right that it's unlikely. Not selling my YES because I still think y'all're overestimating the coherency and ability to stick to deals of the current GOP House caucus, but it's probably not 50+% like I thought.

i honestly think no shot here but i LOVE chaos

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