Will Russia invade Finland before the end of 2024?
Basic
22
แน2.1kDec 31
1.4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if:
Russia takes actions that both the Finnish government and the governments of at least 2 other European countries publicly refer to as an "invasion" before Jan 1 2025.
Note that these references to invasion must also be made before Jan 1 2025, and must be in official government statements, not simply the public statements of individual politicians.
Get แน1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
42% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2026?
17% chance
Will there be a separate Ukrainian incursion into Russia before the end of 2024?
35% chance
Will the Russian Federation invade a NATO country before 2028?
18% chance
Will Russia attack NATO before 2034?
6% chance
Russian attacks or invades Finland by mid 2026
5% chance
Will the Russian invasion be over by 2025?
14% chance
Will Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
14% chance
Will there be a coup attempt in Russia by the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of 2024?
13% chance