What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)
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19
Ṁ21232027
17%
<$25 billion
11%
$25–50 billion
14%
$50–100 billion
46%
$100–200 billion
9%
$200–400 billion
1.5%
$400–800 billion
0.7%
$800 billion – $1.6 trillion
0.4%
$1.6–3.2 trillion
0.2%
>$3.2 trillion
Resolves to the valuation of Anthropic at the end of 2026, according to (in order) 1) the current market capitalization if there was an IPO, 2) the valuation of the most recent priced round or acquisition, if publicly known and <6 months old, or 3) the price of the most recent non-public deals on secondary markets, as determined by my own research and with adjustments for fees (currently: $27b).
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@HenriThunberg <$25B, unless the reason for nonexistence is acquisition. I will try to avoid N/A if possible.
@JonasVollmer if the reason is acquisition, do you use the acquisition price (even if >6 months old)?
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