Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA? | Manifold

Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?

Basic

3

Ṁ31

2030

53%

chance

1D

1W

1M

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This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA. If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.

Here is some additional information:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html

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Since your nyt link is behind paywall:

https://web.archive.org/web/20230203081320/https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html

Are We Close to a Treatment for Celiac Disease?

Recent advances in understanding the condition have brought a surge of potential therapies to the drug development pipeline.

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