Passable sex robots before 2050?
➕
Plus
35
Ṁ2091
2050
59%
chance

Resolves yes if at any time before 2050 there are passable sex robots (i.e., that look and sound realistic enough to pass a turing test in-person).

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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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This seems overpriced relative to https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/before-2050-will-it-become-safe-and

Surely modifying sex of a living human has got to be easier than making one from scratch out of silicon or whatever sex bots would be made of.

Will it have vaginal fluids that only in laboratory can be distinguished to be human from non human?

@OnurcanYasar I didnt expect this in my notifs wow. incredible content

@Stralor Its important within this discussion. Who wants to put lubrication in before doing it

@OnurcanYasar it's an honest question, I'm just shocked

@Stralor Haha 😂

@OnurcanYasar Laboratory analysis doesn’t count. But unassisted humans can’t easily tell the difference.

The market author might well say it is not what they intended, but the description given here is literally impossible, because something that can pass a Turing Test in person does not have behavior compatible with being a sex robot; if it acts like a sex robot, it is not a person, and if it is a person, it is not a sex robot.

To be more plain, if it can pass a Turing Test in person, no one would pay for it as a sex robot, since they would not get what they wanted to pay for.

so in the general population p(female you just met really wants to bang you) might be low enough to make that suspicious in and of itself, but I mean passing a Turing test in all other respects.

Passing a turing test in-person sounds like a very high bar.

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