Will anyone ever achieve Q>5 in a D-He3 reactor smaller than 1km^3?
22
1kṀ4974001
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mixtures with >100ppm tritium don't count. For ICF, the denominator has to be the total wall-plug power, not just the portion of it delivered to the fuel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-He3?
15% chance
Will Helion achieve breakeven deuterium-helium-3 fusion before 2026?
15% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-D?
6% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be T-He3?
5% chance
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Will Helion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-T?
75% chance
Will there be subcritical accelerator-driven fission plants by 2050?
33% chance
Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?
16% chance
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
22% chance