Will bitcoin be over $100k on April 5, 2025? | Manifold

Will bitcoin be over $100k on April 5, 2025?

Plus

96

Ṁ130k

2025

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES iff the volume-weighted-average-price of bitcoin on April 5 2025 (UTC) is above $100k.

Apr 18, 5:03pm: ~~Will bitcoin be over 100k on April 5, 2025?~~ → Will bitcoin be over $100k on April 5, 2025?

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opened a Ṁ10,000 YES at 34% order

10k yes limit at 34% expires in 2 days

sold Ṁ0 YES

Some of the trading here makes me think there's confusion about this market's timeframe. April 5, 2025 is more than a year from now.

predicts NO

An easier market to arb:

predicts NO

A market of mine, (not for April 5, but for Jan 1)

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