Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?
15
1kṀ5362051
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
For anything.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@MichaelMcInerney This is based on the issuance of the pardon, and does not depend on any subsequent litigation
People are also trading
Related questions
Will anyone who previously received a presidential pardon be charged/prosecuted/arrested by the Trump administration?
33% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
60% chance
Will Trump pardon 50+ January 6 rioters before EOY 2025?
99% chance
Will Trump arrest anyone for something that was pardoned (either after the charge, or a per-emptive pardon) under Biden?
46% chance
Will Trump pardon himself?
37% chance
Will Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
38% chance
If Trump is convicted in any federal case, will the next president pardon him or commute his sentence?
20% chance
Will Trump pardon himself over the course of his second term?
42% chance
Will Trump be pardoned if found guilty for any of his current indictments?
25% chance
If Trump is elected, will he attempt to pardon himself?
48% chance