When will New Glenn launch for the first time?
Mini
10
Ṁ1.6kDec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
3%
Before August 2024
5%
August 2024
12%
September 2024
15%
October 2024
5%
November 2024
5%
December 2024
55%
Launch = the rocket visibly moves or explodes after engine start
I will add (some) 2025 options if Blue Glenn doesn't launch in August. Other will serve for now.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket achieve orbit on its first launch?
70% chance
Will New Glenn launch a commercial payload before Starship?
35% chance
Will New Glenn be successfully recovered on its first recovery attempt?
34% chance
Will New Glenn reach or exceed orbit before Starship?
33% chance
Will Blue Origin’s New Glenn be used for the ESCAPADE mission as planned (ie. be ready to launch by August 2024)
51% chance
Will New Glenn (Blue Origin) reach Mars before Starship/Falcon (SpaceX)
57% chance
Will Blue Origin's New Glenn launch before 2026?
84% chance
When will Starship launch from Florida for the first time?