Which will be the next three airlines to operate a supersonic airliner?

Basic

Ṁ718

2040

67%

United Airlines

56%

Japan Airlines

45%

SpaceX Airlines

44%

American Airlines

44%

British Airways

44%

Alaska Airlines

44%

Air France

44%

Hawaiian Airlines

44%

All Nippon Airways

44%

Air China

44%

China Eastern Airlines

44%

Cathay Pacific

44%

Singapore Airlines

44%

KLM Royal Dutch Airlines

44%

China Southern Airlines

32%

Delta Air Lines

After Concorde

Operate a supersonic aircraft on commercial routes where anyone with sufficient money can buy a ticket.

Supersonic aircraft: flies between Mach 1-5 and does not leave Earth's atmosphere

Please add airline names properly

Resolves to first three correct answers.

Will extend until resolution

If it becomes clear that this will never happen, a trusted neutral party should be appointed to judge when an NA resolution is necessary, since I intend to get on this market

Specific SpaceX judgement:

if SpaceX start operating as an airline I'll just edit the answer to XAir or whatever dumb name it is, but it will only count if they are operating a supersonic jet rather than a Starship point2point vehicle

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The total across all options should be 300%, but it’s currently 479%. So you can bet NO on everything for some free money

I’d do it myself by I’m all out of Mana :/

I added SpaceX airlines as a placeholder for a subunit of that company which may become an airline, although it may use another name. Is that okay? Or it might be named [future elon/spacex related airline]

@Ernie See here for extended discussion about how I'm handling this:

TLDR: probably want to exit much of that position

https://manifold.markets/JoshuaWilkes/which-will-be-the-next-airline-to-o?r=Sm9zaHVhV2lsa2Vz

@JoshuaWilkes I'm happy to cover any mana loss from this, I should have updated the two markets simultaneously

@JoshuaWilkes ah got it, thanks.

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