Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?
Basic
3
Ṁ452025
25%
chance
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1W
1M
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American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force
Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)
Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other
Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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