Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029? | Manifold

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

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American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force

Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)

Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other

Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself

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predicts YES

Would a mid-air airplane collision that kills at least one participant count, even if both sides claim it was unintentional?

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