Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029? | Manifold

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2029?

Basic

6

Ṁ80

2028

51%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

American Armed Forces: US Army, US Navy, US Air Force, US Marine Corps, US Coast Guard, US Space Force

Chinese Armed Forces: People's Liberation Army Ground Force, People's Liberation Army Navy, People's Liberation Army Air Force, People's Liberation Army Rocket Force, People's Liberation Army Strategic Support Force, People's Armed Police (including China Coast Guard), Militia of China (including the Maritime Militia)

Resolves YES if it is clear that one side has directly caused a fatality in the other

Please note that a member of one side's armed forces causing a 'civilian' (ie not a member of forces listed here) fatality will not result in a YES resolution by itself

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇨🇳 China

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

predictedYES

Would a mid-air airplane collision that kills at least one participant count, even if both sides claim it was unintentional?

Related questions

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?

Related questions

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2025?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2032?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2030?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2027?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2035?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2028?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2026?

Will a clash between American and Chinese armed forces result in at least one fatality before 2040?

Will China and the Philippines have a conflict in the South China Sea that results in at least one death before 2025?

Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules