Will North Korea attempt a major military invasion of South Korea by Jan 1, 2025?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ2183
Jan 1
4%
chance

Resolves to YES if any attempt is made at capturing territory greater than 25km^2 at the time of market open belonging to the Republic of Korea.

Territory considered to be part of the DMZ is NOT included unless the officially stated (or widely understood) aim is the capture of additional territory beyond it (a skirmish over a strip of minefield by low level officers will NOT resolve to YES).

An attempt that fails to actually capture any territory will still resolve to YES if the aim was understood or officially stated as the capture of more than 25km^2 of territory.

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Ṁ1,000
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