Will USA or China win in a war against each other?
Basic
10
Ṁ153
2050
39%
No such war begins before 2050
12%
USA coalition
20%
China coalition
25%
Inconclusive / stalemate / draw / thorough mutual destruction
4%
Other

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Can you give some examples of the different resolution cases?

In particular, what is Other?

@JoshuaWilkes I intend to defer judgement to Wikipedia in case such war happens and there is Wikipedia to write an article about when it ends. You can ask about specific cases you are thinking about. "Other" is for the possibility of some unexpected result, e.g. some other coalition eventually defeating both USA and China.

@JuJumper I am more concerned that I will buy an option like US Coalition, and then the US wins but they win in an unexpected way and a new option is created for that

@JoshuaWilkes if they win, they win.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules