Will president Trump fire Jerome Powell before EOY 2025?
47
100Ṁ9181Dec 31
17%
chance
5
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Fired is defined strictly as an explicit unexpected termination of employment, not including any form of coerced or pressured resignation or termination as scheduled.
If Jerome Powell is pushed or pressured to resign rather than being formally fired, the outcome will resolve as a NO.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen just to confirm, you intend to resolve with a strict definition of "fire", right? So for example, Jerome being pushed to resign would count as a NO resolution?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
11% chance
Will Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?
5% chance
Will Trump pardon 50+ January 6 rioters before EOY 2025?
99% chance
Will Trump be able to force Jerome Powell to leave or resign from his position as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
14% chance
Will Jerome Powell be appointed to a third term as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
3% chance
Will Jerome Powell leave his role before the end of his term?
15% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2025?
96% chance
Will Trump pardon a member of his administration to avoid their prosecution for being held in contempt of court in 2025?
60% chance
Will Jay Powell still be chair of the Federal Reserve on January 20th, 2026?
77% chance
Will Jerome Powell be alive through the end of 2035?
60% chance